At first glance, the choice for Republicans is a Disaster. The presidency is lost to human discretion, the majority in the Senate at risk. The “blue wall” of the Democrats in the mid-West is back. Even Georgia and Arizona, turn the majority of Donald Trump.
However, the position of the Conservatives is not as bad as it seems. Many Democrats hoped for a landslide victory to Joe Biden’s failed to materialize. His lead in the crucial States of America is scarce.
The most conservative strongholds to the President. In Texas, Ohio and North Carolina, where the Democrats have hopes, they lost significantly. In Florida, an important Swing State, has Trump even the course.
The voters have not turned away, after four years of Trump in droves to the Republicans – on the contrary.
More votes than 2016
Trump has get 2020 more votes than in the year 2016. After a term full of lies, anti-democratic transgressions, impeachment, and hundreds of thousands of Corona-dead, finds almost half of American voters that four more years of your country guttäten.
Trump has managed in Association with right-wing media such as Fox News, to isolate a large part of his followers of the reality. Who is rewarded, as the Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, on the side of the President suggested, was. Graham, whose Senate seat the Democrats in the visor had won easily.
There is a lot of fuss has been made about the voters coalition is to secure the dominance of the Democrats for years to come: young people, women, voters from the suburbs, Blacks, Latinos. In Georgia and Arizona has succeeded Biden in fact, in the conservative heartland to penetrate.
The democratic coalition is fragile
But this coalition is fragile. Latinos have helped Trump in Florida to victory. The proportion of women and of black men to his constituents is increased according to the Exitpolls. Even the decline in older voters has remained stable, in spite of Corona.
In the elections to the chamber of deputies, the expected blue wave remained. Instead, the Republicans gained seats. The democratic majority leader Nancy Pelosi will have a hard time, her ideologically disparate force together to hold.
The hope of the Democrats to take the majority in the Senate, has not been fulfilled also. At best, a tie is still possible. But both democratic candidates in Georgia would have to win the run-off elections in January. In the case of a stalemate in the Senate, the voice of a Vice-President Kamala Harris would be crucial.
Conservative Trump-opponent had hoped for a split of the Republicans into a radical and a moderate wing. This would only have been plausible if the voters Trumps would have discredited policy thoroughly. But the result is not failed
The leadership of the party is silent
Who should be the moderate? After four years of Trump there is no longer you. No leading Republican has been trump’s attacks on democracy on election night and in the days that followed with open arms.
The Republican majority leader in the Senate, Mitch McConnell, holds the Trump is a useful idiot who tweeted that all “legal votes” should be counted. This could be understood as a distancing from Trump – or as the opposite.
Trump has his party in spite of defeat still in the handle. As a right-Trump-trailer complained of that to hear from Lindsey Graham was nothing, commented Trumps son Donald Jr. the one with the words: “it surprises nobody.”
The message was: a Little later, Graham explained in an Interview with Fox News, he would donate $ 500,000 for the legal battle Trumps against the election result. “I am standing for President because he has stood by me.”
The bare Figures do not reflect how favourable the Situation for the Republicans is. The Supreme Court will have for the foreseeable future, a solid conservative majority, the Federal courts are Packed with conservative judges. A lot of what not can block the Republicans politically, to prevent the dishes.
The party retains its majority in the Senate, then Biden from his program will prevail only a little. There is no comprehensive health reform, no climate package, and no restructuring of the tax system, which benefits mainly the Rich. The heritage Trumps will remain.
Gerrymandering: Undemocratic Imbalance
On another level, the Conservatives have achieved their goals: The Democrats had hoped to take in a number of States, the majority in parliaments. The plan did not work.
It is a Failure with far-reaching consequences. The constituencies will be determined in the coming year for the next ten years. In many States, the majority party is responsible.
The past provides an indication of how the Republicans intend to exercise this responsibility: you will be cropping the constituencies to continue to do so, that this favors their own party.
Now the Democrats need to because of this so-called Gerrymanderings more votes to win a majority in the house of representatives. To this undemocratic imbalance, nothing will change.
The Republicans will remain what they are under Trump become: a party without decency, shame, and sense of honor. And thus to a high degree competitive.